World Publics on Eliminating All Nuclear Weapons December 9, 2008 Q34: Now I would like you to consider a possible international agreement for eliminating all nuclear weapons. All countries with nuclear weapons would be required to eliminate them according to a timetable. All other countries would be required not to develop them. All countries, including [country], would be monitored to make sure they are following the agreement. Would you favor or oppose such an agreement? Strongly favor Somewhat favor Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose DK / NS Argentina 85 8 2 2 3 Mexico 70 17 7 3 US 39 38 13 7 2 France 58 28 7 5 3 Britain 55 26 9 8 2 Russia 38 31 8 6 16 Ukraine 53 27 5 2 14 Azerbaijan 48 22 8 14 8 Egypt 39 44 7 10 0 Iran 50 18 8 5 19 Israel 42 25 13 12 8 Pakistan 20 26 21 20 13 Palest. Ter. 33 37 14 8 9 Turkey 55 10 5 5 24 Kenya 68 28 2 1 1 Nigeria 55 31 8 4 2 China 60 23 9 5 3 India 31 31 11 9 18 Indonesia 60 21 6 5 9 S Korea 53 33 11 4 1 Thailand 45 22 4 25 Average 50 26 9 7 9 1 2 RESEARCH PARTNERS Research Center Contact Argentina Graciela Romer y Asociados Ms. Graciela C. R?mer graciela@romer.com.ar (+54-11) 4345-2864/5 Azerbaijan International Center for Social Research Dr. Tair Faradov tfaradov@yahoo.com (+99 412) 492 27 34/672 22 49 China WorldPublicOpinion.org Dr. Stephen Weber sweber@pipa.org +1 202 232 7500 Egypt Attitude Market Research Mr. Mohamed Al Gendy mgendy@attitude-eg.com +202 22711262 France Efficience 3 Mr. Samuel Lee samuel.l@efficience3.com +33 3 26 79 03 59 Great Britain Chatham House (Royal Institute of International Affairs) / GlobeScan Dr. Robin Niblett rniblett@chathamhouse.org.uk +44 (0)20 7957 5702 Mr. Lloyd Hetherington lloyd.hetherington@globescan.com +1 416 962 0707 India Centre for Voting Opinion & Trends in Election Research (CVoter) Mr. Yashwant Deshmukh yashwant@teamcvoter.com 91 120 4247135 Indonesia Synovate Ms. Eva Yusuf Eva.Yusuf@synovate.com (+62-21) 2525 608 Iran WorldPublicOpinion.org Dr. Stephen Weber sweber@pipa.org +1 202 232 7500 Israel Tami Steinmetz Center for Peace Research / Evens Program for Conflict Resolution and Mediation, Tel Aviv University Prof. Tamar Hermann tamarhe@gmail.com (+972-3) 6424298 / 6406762 Prof. Ephraim Ya?ar-Evens Program for Conflict Resolution and Mediation, eppie@post.tau.ac.il (+972-3) 6407381 Kenya Research Path Associates Limited Mr. Stephen Dimolo Ashers steve.ashers@rpa.co.ke +254-20-2734770 Mexico Reforma Dr. Alejandro Moreno alejandro.moreno@reforma.com +52 56 28 72 35 Nigeria Market Trends Research International Mr. Michael Umogun m.umogun@research-intng.com + 234-1 791 79 87 3 Pakistan Pakistani Institute of Public Opinion Fatima, Idrees (Ms.) Project Manager Phone: +92-51-2825745 Fax : +92-51-2827417 Email: fatima.idrees@gallup.com.pk Palestinian Territories Palestinian Center for Public Opinion Dr. Nabil Kukali kukali@p-ol.com (+972-2) 2774846 Russia Levada Center Ms. Ludmila Khakhulina lkhahul@levada.ru (+7 095) 229-55-44 South Korea East Asia Institute Dr. Han Wool Jeong hwjeong@eai.or.kr +82 02-2277-1683 Thailand ABAC Poll Research Center, Assumption University Dr. Noppadon Kannika noppadonknn@au.edu +66-2-719-1550 Turkey ARI Foundation / Infakto Research Workshop Mr. Yurter Ozcan Yurter@arifoundation.org +1 (804) 868 0123 Dr. Emre Erdogan emre.erdogan@infakto.com.tr +90 212 231 07 08 Ukraine Kiev International Institute of Sociology Dr. Vladimir Illich Paniotto paniotto@kmis.kiev.ua (+38) 044 537-3376 / (+38) 044 501- 7403 United States Program on International Policy Attitudes / Knowledge Networks Dr. Stephen Weber sweber@pipa.org +1-202-232-7500 Dr. Michael Dennis mdennis@knowledgenetworks.com +1-650-289-2160 4 METHODOLOGY Sample Size (unweighted) MoE (%) Field dates Survey methodology Type of sample Argentina 679 3.8 August 20-29, 2008 Face-to-face Urban 1 Azerbaijan 602 4.1 Jan 13 ? Feb 5, 2008 Face-to-face National China 1000 3.2 Jan 10-25, 2008 Telephone Urban/ National 2 Egypt 600 4.0 Jan 17-27, 2008 Face-to-face Urban 3 France 600 4.1 Feb 5-11, 2008 Telephone National Great Britain 800 3.5 Jan 29 ? Feb 19, 2008 Telephone National India 1023 3.2 February 25-29, 2008 Face-to-face National 4 Indonesia 811 3.5 Jan 19-29, 2008 Face-to-face National 5 Iran 710 3.8 Jan 13 ? Feb 9, 2008 Face-to-face National Israel 596 4.1 February 4-6, 2009 Telephone National 6 Kenya 1000 3.2 July 17-30, 2008 Face-to-face National Mexico 850 3.4 Jan 25-27, 2008 Telephone National 7 Nigeria 1000 3.2 February 7-18, 2008 Face-to-face National 8 Pakistan 1467 2.6 April-May 2008 Face-to-face National Palestinian Territories 626 4.0 February 10-23, 2008 Face-to-face National 9 Russia 800 3.5 Jan 18-22, 2008 Face-to-Face National South Korea 600 4.1 Feb 11-12, 2008 Telephone National Thailand 2699 1.9 Apr 21 ? May 6, 2008 Face-to-face National 10 5 Turkey 719 3.7 Jan 12-24, 2008 Face-to-face National Ukraine 1020 3.1 Feb 8-18, 2008 Face-to-face National United States 940 3.3 Jan 18-27, 2008 Internet 11 National 1 In March 2008, the survey was executed in the urban areas of Capital Federal, Gran Buenos Aires, Cordoba, Mendoza, and Rosario, representing 39 percent of Argentina?s population. In August 2008, the survey was executed in the urban areas of Capital Federal and Gran Buenos Aires, representing 35 percent of Argentina?s population. 2 In January 2008, the survey was a national probability sample of urban telephone households across China. A stratified PPS sample design was developed to sample 20 cities; urban households represent approximately 45 percent of the Chinese population. In August 2008, the survey was a probability sample of urban and rural households with land-line telephones in the provinces of Anhui, Hebei, Heilongjiang, Hubei, Jiangsu, Shanxi, Shanghai, Sichuan, and Yunnan?representing approximately 60 percent of the mainland Chinese population. The August sample was 40 percent rural, 60 percent urban (rural households make up approximately 55 percent of the population). 3 In Egypt, the survey was executed in the urban areas of Cairo, Alexandria, Giza, and Subra. These four urbanized areas represent75 percent of Egypt?s urban population, which is 42 percent of the national population. 4 In India, a face-to-face survey was conducted in urban and rural areas in 14 of the largest Indian states; these states comprise 77 percent of India?s population. The sample is 60 percent urban, India?s population is approximately 30 percent urban. 5 In Indonesia, a national probability sample was conducted in both urban and rural areas and covering approximately 87 percent of Indonesia?s population. 6 In Israel the telephone interviews included 596 interviewees, (506 were Jewish) who represent the adult Jewish and Arab population of Israel (including the territories and the kibbutzim). 7 In Mexico, a random telephone sample of adults who had landline telephones was conducted in all 31 states and the Federal District. Telephone penetration in Mexico is 55 percent. 8 In Nigeria, the sample was developed by selecting six states, one per geographic region, based upon their size and representativeness. Within each state, sampling points were selected by means of a multi-stage random sample which disproportionately sampled urban areas. The final sample is 75 percent urban; Nigeria is approximately 50 percent urban. 9 In the Palestinian Territories, a face-to-face national probability survey was conducted among the population of the West Bank, including East Jerusalem, and the Gaza Strip. 10 In May 2008, the survey was conducted in 10 provinces of the country including Bangkok, Samutprakarn, Chantaburi, Ratchaburi, Chiang Mai, Kampangpet, Kornkean, Sakonnakorn, Chumporn, and Songkla. In September 2008, the survey was conducted in 9 provinces of the country including Bangkok, Samutprakarn, Chanthaburi, Khonkaen, Chiang Mai, Kamphaengphet, Sakonnakhon, Chumphon, and Songkhla. 11 In the United States, the poll was an online survey drawn from a nationally representative sample of the Knowledge Networks online panel. This panel is randomly selected through telephone interviews from the population of telephone households in the US, and subsequently provided with Internet access if needed.